energy-systems-analysis-small.jpgEnergy Systems Analysis, Technology Roadmaps and Policy Wiki

Energy System Projections Main Page

China Based Models/Data

International Models/Data

U.S. Energy Information Administration

Main page: EIA

The U.S. EIA is the best source for statistics and analysis related to energy forecasts, environmental emissions relating to energy use, and energy markets. They publish on a myriad of topical energy trends such as use of biofuels, shale gas and oil, and renewable energy.


Related link: International Energy Outlook

The International Energy Outlook (IEO) includes forecasts on the use of a wide range of fuels in different economic sectors, such as, electricity, transportation and industrial. The forecast was last published in 2011 and is scheduled for an updated released in April 2013.

U.S. Based Models/Data

U.S. Energy and Information Administration

Main page: EIA


Related links: Annual Energy Outlook| National Energy Modeling System

The Annual Energy Outlook (AEO) is published in the spring. It contains a yearly forecast for energy and emissions of a wide range sectors including, residential, industrial and commercial energy use, electricity generation, vehicle fleet characteristics, and emissions from different economic sectors. A number of scenarios are generated by the EIA by varying one parameter and running the National Energy Modeling System (NEMS) to see how the different sectors could react. Examples of scenarios the EIA includes in their forecast are: high and low economic economic growth, different energy prices (for oil, coal, etc.), and a carbon tax, among many others. The 2013 AEO, scheduled for release early in the year, will be the first to have projections out to 2040.


Related link: Short Term Energy Outlook

The Short Term Energy Outlook (STEO) is released monthly and forecasts out to one year. Since the timescale for this outlook is much less than the AEO the forecasts are more detailed, specific and carry less uncertainty.